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Serie B · Matchweek 24

LR Vicenza

LRV

Palermo

PAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LR Vicenza23%
Draw22%
Palermo55%

Expected goals

1.36 – 2.11

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.5%
  • 1–19.1%
  • 0–17.1%
  • 0–27.0%
  • 1–36.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LR Vicenza get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession45%
37%Territory31%
63%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.9%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for LR Vicenza, 4 for Palermo.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.