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Serie B · Matchweek 24

Juve Stabia

JUV

Carrarese

CAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Juve Stabia42%
Draw28%
Carrarese29%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.15

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juve Stabia get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession56%
31%Territory35%
36%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.0%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juve Stabia, 4 for Carrarese.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.