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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 24

Benevento

BEN

Cremonese

CRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Benevento51%
Draw25%
Cremonese24%

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.15

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Benevento will have the ball; Cremonese will not mind.

56%Possession43%
41%Territory42%
25%From set plays28%
0.12Chance quality0.14
5.2%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Benevento, 4 for Cremonese.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.