Serie B · Matchweek 23
Hellas Verona
HEL
Modena
MOD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hellas Verona26%
Draw28%
Modena46%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.45
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–112.2%
- 0–09.2%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Modena will have the ball; Hellas Verona will not mind.
47%Possession59%
43%Territory39%
21%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hellas Verona, 4 for Modena.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.