Serie B · Matchweek 23
Palermo
PAL
Arezzo
ARE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palermo76%
Draw15%
Arezzo9%
Expected goals
2.75 – 0.93
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–09.8%
- 2–18.9%
- 3–08.6%
- 3–18.2%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arezzo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession40%
31%Territory34%
14%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.7%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Palermo, 4 for Arezzo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.