Serie B · Matchweek 23
Virtus Entella
VIR
Südtirol
SDT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Virtus Entella45%
Draw29%
Südtirol26%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.01
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–010.4%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Virtus Entella get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession57%
36%Territory29%
49%From set plays23%
0.07Chance quality0.10
7.0%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Virtus Entella, 4 for Südtirol.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.