Serie B · Matchweek 23
Empoli
EMP
Mantova
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Empoli35%
Draw27%
Mantova38%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.43
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Mantova will have the ball; Empoli will not mind.
47%Possession56%
34%Territory48%
34%From set plays24%
0.06Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Empoli, 4 for Mantova.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.