Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 23

Carrarese

CAR

LR Vicenza

LRV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Carrarese55%
Draw24%
LR Vicenza22%

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.13

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.6%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Carrarese will have the ball; LR Vicenza will not mind.

56%Possession48%
35%Territory37%
15%From set plays63%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Carrarese, 4 for LR Vicenza.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.