Serie B · Matchweek 23
Benevento
BEN
Sampdoria
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benevento48%
Draw27%
Sampdoria24%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.03
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–112.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benevento will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.
56%Possession38%
41%Territory36%
25%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.08
5.2%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Benevento, 4 for Sampdoria.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.