Serie B · Matchweek 22
Südtirol
SDT
Palermo
PAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Südtirol27%
Draw24%
Palermo48%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.84
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–18.0%
- 2–16.7%
- 0–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Südtirol will have the ball; Palermo will not mind.
57%Possession45%
29%Territory31%
23%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Südtirol, 4 for Palermo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.