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Serie B · Matchweek 22

Pisa

PIS

Hellas Verona

HEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Pisa48%
Draw25%
Hellas Verona27%

Expected goals

1.78 – 1.32

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 2–06.9%
  • 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Pisa will have the ball; Hellas Verona will not mind.

58%Possession47%
40%Territory43%
20%From set plays21%
0.14Chance quality0.09
3.3%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Pisa, 4 for Hellas Verona.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.