Serie B · Matchweek 22
LR Vicenza
LRV
Ascoli
ASC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LR Vicenza28%
Draw26%
Ascoli46%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.64
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–07.1%
- 0–27.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli will have the ball; LR Vicenza will not mind.
48%Possession66%
37%Territory42%
63%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.13
6.9%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for LR Vicenza, 4 for Ascoli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.