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Serie B · Matchweek 22

Virtus Entella

VIR

Sampdoria

SAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Virtus Entella43%
Draw31%
Sampdoria26%

Expected goals

1.20 – 0.89

Over 2.5

35%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.0%
  • 0–013.7%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–110.7%
  • 2–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Virtus Entella will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.

49%Possession38%
36%Territory36%
49%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.08
7.0%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Virtus Entella, 4 for Sampdoria.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.