Serie B · Matchweek 22
Cesena
CES
Benevento
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cesena43%
Draw26%
Benevento31%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.38
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–27.4%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benevento will have the ball; Cesena will not mind.
42%Possession56%
36%Territory41%
26%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cesena, 4 for Benevento.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.