Serie B · Matchweek 21
Hellas Verona
HEL
Juve Stabia
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hellas Verona36%
Draw29%
Juve Stabia35%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.28
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession51%
43%Territory31%
21%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.08
5.5%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hellas Verona, 4 for Juve Stabia.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.