Serie B · Matchweek 21
Sampdoria
SAM
Mantova
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sampdoria38%
Draw29%
Mantova33%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.19
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–110.3%
- 0–09.8%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Mantova will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.
38%Possession56%
36%Territory48%
26%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.10
8.3%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sampdoria, 4 for Mantova.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.