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Serie B · Matchweek 21

Palermo

PAL

Pisa

PIS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Palermo57%
Draw21%
Pisa22%

Expected goals

2.23 – 1.39

Over 2.5

69%

Both to score

68%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–18.5%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 2–06.7%
  • 1–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Pisa will have the ball; Palermo will not mind.

45%Possession58%
31%Territory40%
14%From set plays20%
0.12Chance quality0.14
4.7%Directness3.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Palermo, 4 for Pisa.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.