Serie B · Matchweek 21
Empoli
EMP
Modena
MOD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Empoli22%
Draw27%
Modena51%
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.53
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.3%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–29.5%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–29.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Modena will have the ball; Empoli will not mind.
47%Possession59%
34%Territory39%
34%From set plays22%
0.06Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Empoli, 4 for Modena.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.