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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 21

Cremonese

CRE

LR Vicenza

LRV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cremonese47%
Draw26%
LR Vicenza27%

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.23

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LR Vicenza get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

43%Possession48%
42%Territory37%
28%From set plays63%
0.14Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cremonese, 4 for LR Vicenza.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.