Serie B · Matchweek 21
Carrarese
CAR
Padova
PAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Carrarese55%
Draw25%
Padova20%
Expected goals
1.71 – 0.97
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–09.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Carrarese will have the ball; Padova will not mind.
56%Possession39%
35%Territory34%
15%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Carrarese, 4 for Padova.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.