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Serie B · Matchweek 21

Benevento

BEN

Arezzo

ARE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Benevento66%
Draw20%
Arezzo14%

Expected goals

2.18 – 0.95

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.5%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Benevento will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.

56%Possession40%
41%Territory34%
25%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.12
5.2%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Benevento, 4 for Arezzo.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.