Serie B · Matchweek 21
Avellino
AVE
Virtus Entella
VIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Avellino41%
Draw30%
Virtus Entella29%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.01
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.3%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–011.8%
- 0–110.5%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Avellino will have the ball; Virtus Entella will not mind.
57%Possession49%
38%Territory36%
32%From set plays49%
0.07Chance quality0.07
8.0%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Avellino, 4 for Virtus Entella.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.