Serie B · Matchweek 21
Ascoli
ASC
Südtirol
SDT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ascoli52%
Draw25%
Südtirol23%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.07
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli will have the ball; Südtirol will not mind.
66%Possession57%
42%Territory29%
43%From set plays23%
0.13Chance quality0.10
3.7%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ascoli, 4 for Südtirol.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.