Serie B · Matchweek 20
Pisa
PIS
Avellino
AVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pisa38%
Draw27%
Avellino34%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.33
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession42%
41%Territory28%
24%From set plays17%
0.11Chance quality0.12
3.4%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pisa, 3 for Avellino. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.