Serie B · Matchweek 20
Pisa
PIS
Avellino
AVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pisa43%
Draw26%
Avellino31%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.30
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession57%
40%Territory38%
20%From set plays32%
0.14Chance quality0.07
3.3%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Pisa, 4 for Avellino.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.