Serie B · Matchweek 20
Palermo
PAL
Empoli
EMP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palermo66%
Draw19%
Empoli15%
Expected goals
2.32 – 1.08
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.1%
- 1–18.4%
- 1–08.3%
- 3–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Empoli get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession47%
31%Territory34%
14%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.06
4.7%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Palermo, 4 for Empoli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.