Serie B · Matchweek 20
Padova
PAD
Cremonese
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Padova35%
Draw29%
Cremonese36%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.27
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
39%Possession43%
34%Territory42%
18%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.14
5.7%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Padova, 4 for Cremonese.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Padova
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.