Serie B · Matchweek 20
Padova
PAD
Cremonese
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Padova41%
Draw27%
Cremonese32%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.30
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cremonese will have the ball; Padova will not mind.
40%Possession54%
39%Territory42%
37%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Padova, 3 for Cremonese. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.