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Serie B · Matchweek 20

LR Vicenza

LRV

Virtus Entella

VIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LR Vicenza32%
Draw29%
Virtus Entella39%

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.32

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–111.0%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession49%
37%Territory36%
63%From set plays49%
0.10Chance quality0.07
6.9%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for LR Vicenza, 4 for Virtus Entella.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.