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Serie B · Matchweek 20

Juve Stabia

JUV

Sampdoria

SAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Juve Stabia46%
Draw30%
Sampdoria24%

Expected goals

1.33 – 0.91

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.4%
  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–011.8%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 2–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juve Stabia will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.

51%Possession38%
31%Territory36%
36%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.08
3.0%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juve Stabia, 4 for Sampdoria.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.