Serie B · Matchweek 20
Cesena
CES
Modena
MOD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cesena31%
Draw28%
Modena41%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.37
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–09.3%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Modena will have the ball; Cesena will not mind.
42%Possession59%
36%Territory39%
26%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cesena, 4 for Modena.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.