Serie B · Matchweek 20
Ascoli
ASC
Catanzaro
CAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ascoli60%
Draw21%
Catanzaro19%
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.17
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–08.4%
- 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli will have the ball; Catanzaro will not mind.
66%Possession48%
42%Territory35%
43%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.09
3.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ascoli, 4 for Catanzaro.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.