Serie B · Matchweek 20
Ascoli
ASC
Catanzaro
CAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ascoli38%
Draw27%
Catanzaro36%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.43
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
64%Possession59%
49%Territory46%
23%From set plays6%
0.13Chance quality0.08
3.8%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ascoli, 3 for Catanzaro. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.