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Serie B · Matchweek 20

Arezzo

ARE

Hellas Verona

HEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Arezzo30%
Draw25%
Hellas Verona45%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.70

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.0%
  • 129.2%
  • 018.5%
  • 217.2%
  • 106.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hellas Verona will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.

43%Possession63%
33%Territory50%
29%From set plays16%
0.07Chance quality0.15
9.6%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arezzo, 3 for Hellas Verona. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.