Serie B · Matchweek 20
Arezzo
ARE
Hellas Verona
HEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arezzo26%
Draw26%
Hellas Verona48%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.64
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.7%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession47%
34%Territory43%
31%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.09
7.4%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Arezzo, 4 for Hellas Verona.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.