Serie B · Matchweek 19
Südtirol
SDT
Carrarese
CAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Südtirol42%
Draw30%
Carrarese29%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.05
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–010.8%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Südtirol will have the ball; Carrarese will not mind.
48%Possession34%
35%Territory38%
14%From set plays43%
0.06Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Südtirol, 3 for Carrarese. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.