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Serie B · Matchweek 19

Sampdoria

SAM

Hellas Verona

HEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sampdoria41%
Draw27%
Hellas Verona32%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.27

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 1010.0%
  • 218.7%
  • 018.6%
  • 007.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hellas Verona will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.

49%Possession63%
42%Territory50%
27%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.15
4.4%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sampdoria, 3 for Hellas Verona. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.