Serie B · Matchweek 19
Sampdoria
SAM
Hellas Verona
HEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sampdoria39%
Draw29%
Hellas Verona31%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.14
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–110.1%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hellas Verona will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.
38%Possession47%
36%Territory43%
26%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.09
8.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sampdoria, 4 for Hellas Verona.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.