Serie B · Matchweek 19
Modena
MOD
Palermo
PAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Modena45%
Draw26%
Palermo29%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.26
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.3%
- 1–27.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Modena will have the ball; Palermo will not mind.
59%Possession45%
39%Territory31%
22%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Modena, 4 for Palermo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.