Serie B · Matchweek 19
Mantova
MAN
Padova
PAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mantova53%
Draw25%
Padova22%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.03
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.2%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Mantova will have the ball; Padova will not mind.
56%Possession39%
48%Territory34%
24%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.9%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Mantova, 4 for Padova.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Mantova
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.