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Serie B · Matchweek 19

Virtus Entella

VIR

Benevento

BEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Virtus Entella38%
Draw29%
Benevento33%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.20

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Virtus Entella get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession56%
36%Territory41%
49%From set plays25%
0.07Chance quality0.12
7.0%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Virtus Entella, 4 for Benevento.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.