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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 19

Virtus Entella

VIR

Benevento

BEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Virtus Entella53%
Draw25%
Benevento22%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.04

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.5%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–09.0%
  • 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Virtus Entella will have the ball; Benevento will not mind.

54%Possession45%
41%Territory32%
12%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.06
6.2%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Virtus Entella, 3 for Benevento. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.