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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 19

Cremonese

CRE

Ascoli

ASC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cremonese32%
Draw28%
Ascoli40%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.43

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Ascoli will have the ball; Cremonese will not mind.

43%Possession66%
42%Territory42%
28%From set plays43%
0.14Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cremonese, 4 for Ascoli.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.