Serie B · Matchweek 19
Cremonese
CRE
Ascoli
ASC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cremonese37%
Draw27%
Ascoli36%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.41
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–08.7%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli will have the ball; Cremonese will not mind.
54%Possession64%
42%Territory49%
13%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.13
4.8%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cremonese, 3 for Ascoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.