Serie B · Matchweek 19
Cesena
CES
Pisa
PIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cesena53%
Draw24%
Pisa23%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.17
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–25.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession44%
31%Territory41%
26%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.4%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cesena, 3 for Pisa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.