Serie B · Matchweek 19
Catanzaro
CAT
Empoli
EMP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Catanzaro43%
Draw25%
Empoli32%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.45
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–07.8%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession47%
35%Territory34%
27%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.06
5.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Catanzaro, 4 for Empoli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.