Serie B · Matchweek 19
Catanzaro
CAT
Empoli
EMP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Catanzaro47%
Draw26%
Empoli27%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.16
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Empoli get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
59%Possession52%
46%Territory32%
6%From set plays38%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.2%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Catanzaro, 3 for Empoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Catanzaro
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.