Serie B · Matchweek 19
Avellino
AVE
Juve Stabia
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Avellino39%
Draw29%
Juve Stabia32%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.15
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–110.2%
- 0–010.1%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juve Stabia will have the ball; Avellino will not mind.
42%Possession58%
28%Territory30%
17%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.07
6.7%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Avellino, 3 for Juve Stabia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.