Serie B · Matchweek 19
Avellino
AVE
Juve Stabia
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Avellino39%
Draw30%
Juve Stabia31%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.12
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–010.4%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession51%
38%Territory31%
32%From set plays36%
0.07Chance quality0.08
8.0%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Avellino, 4 for Juve Stabia.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.