Serie B · Matchweek 19
Arezzo
ARE
LR Vicenza
LRV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arezzo38%
Draw26%
LR Vicenza36%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.46
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–08.1%
- 1–28.1%
- 0–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession49%
33%Territory42%
29%From set plays25%
0.07Chance quality0.09
9.6%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arezzo, 3 for LR Vicenza. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.