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Serie B · Matchweek 19

Arezzo

ARE

LR Vicenza

LRV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Arezzo33%
Draw26%
LR Vicenza41%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.53

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LR Vicenza will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.

40%Possession48%
34%Territory37%
31%From set plays63%
0.12Chance quality0.10
7.4%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Arezzo, 4 for LR Vicenza.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.