Serie B · Matchweek 18
Hellas Verona
HEL
Cremonese
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hellas Verona45%
Draw27%
Cremonese28%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.20
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.7%
- 2–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession43%
43%Territory42%
21%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.14
5.4%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hellas Verona, 4 for Cremonese.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.