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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 18

Hellas Verona

HEL

Cremonese

CRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hellas Verona52%
Draw24%
Cremonese24%

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.21

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hellas Verona will have the ball; Cremonese will not mind.

63%Possession54%
50%Territory42%
16%From set plays13%
0.15Chance quality0.12
4.5%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hellas Verona, 3 for Cremonese. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.