Serie B · Matchweek 18
Palermo
PAL
Virtus Entella
VIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palermo53%
Draw25%
Virtus Entella22%
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.07
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession54%
37%Territory41%
26%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.10
4.0%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Palermo, 3 for Virtus Entella. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.