Club Football Intelligence

Serie B · Matchweek 18

Sun, 20 Dec, 16:15 UTC

Palermo

PAL

16:15 UTC

Virtus Entella

VIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Palermo54%

Draw24%

Virtus Entella21%

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.07

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

1–111.0%
1–010.7%
2–19.9%
2–09.0%
0–06.4%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

Virtus Entella get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession49%

31%Territory36%

14%From set plays49%

0.12Chance quality0.07

4.7%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Palermo, 4 for Virtus Entella.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Palermo

Dominic VavassoriFW3G 1A 1.37/90
HernaniMF1G 1A 1.01/90
Jacopo SegreMF1G 1A 0.85/90

Virtus Entella

Luca VignaliMF0G 1A 0.44/90
Mattia TirelliFW1G 0A 0.39/90
Bernat GuiuFW1G 0A 0.39/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.