Serie B · Matchweek 18
LR Vicenza
LRV
Südtirol
SDT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LR Vicenza35%
Draw29%
Südtirol36%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.24
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession48%
42%Territory35%
25%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.06
8.2%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LR Vicenza, 3 for Südtirol. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.