Serie B · Matchweek 18
Juve Stabia
JUV
Mantova
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juve Stabia41%
Draw28%
Mantova31%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.20
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–08.7%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juve Stabia will have the ball; Mantova will not mind.
58%Possession44%
30%Territory33%
21%From set plays19%
0.07Chance quality0.10
3.7%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juve Stabia, 3 for Mantova. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.