Serie B · Matchweek 18
Juve Stabia
JUV
Mantova
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juve Stabia45%
Draw27%
Mantova28%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.14
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession56%
31%Territory48%
36%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.10
3.0%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juve Stabia, 4 for Mantova.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.