Serie B · Matchweek 18
Empoli
EMP
Sampdoria
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Empoli37%
Draw30%
Sampdoria33%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.15
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–111.0%
- 0–010.8%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Empoli will have the ball; Sampdoria will not mind.
47%Possession38%
34%Territory36%
34%From set plays26%
0.06Chance quality0.08
5.3%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Empoli, 4 for Sampdoria.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.