Serie B · Matchweek 18
Catanzaro
CAT
Arezzo
ARE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Catanzaro55%
Draw23%
Arezzo22%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.25
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–07.7%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Catanzaro will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.
48%Possession40%
35%Territory34%
27%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.2%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Catanzaro, 4 for Arezzo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.