Serie B · Matchweek 18
Catanzaro
CAT
Arezzo
ARE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Catanzaro61%
Draw22%
Arezzo18%
Expected goals
2.08 – 1.08
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.6%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–09.2%
- 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Catanzaro will have the ball; Arezzo will not mind.
59%Possession43%
46%Territory33%
6%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.2%Directness9.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Catanzaro, 3 for Arezzo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Catanzaro
Arezzo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 40 matches, not the full season.