Serie B · Matchweek 18
Carrarese
CAR
Avellino
AVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Carrarese42%
Draw28%
Avellino30%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.18
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Avellino get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession57%
35%Territory38%
15%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.0%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Carrarese, 4 for Avellino.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.