Serie B · Matchweek 18
Benevento
BEN
Pisa
PIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benevento45%
Draw25%
Pisa30%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.42
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–07.8%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession58%
41%Territory40%
25%From set plays20%
0.12Chance quality0.14
5.2%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Benevento, 4 for Pisa.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.