Serie B · Matchweek 18
Ascoli
ASC
Modena
MOD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ascoli33%
Draw30%
Modena38%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.26
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–010.2%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ascoli get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
66%Possession59%
42%Territory39%
43%From set plays22%
0.13Chance quality0.10
3.7%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Ascoli, 4 for Modena.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 37 of 100 matches, not the full season.